David MontgomeryorOmarion Hampton?

Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Lean Omarion Hampton

Omarion Hampton outscores David Montgomery in 55% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: David Montgomery comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean Omarion Hampton, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Omarion Hampton projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: Omarion Hampton faces the Baltimore Ravens (3% fewer than average to RBs), David Montgomery faces the Cleveland Browns (average to RBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

David Montgomery
Floor
2.2
Median
7.3
Ceiling
17.9
Big game (20+):
7%
Dud (under 6):
40%
Omarion Hampton
Floor
3.4
Median
8.2
Ceiling
16.2
Big game (20+):
4%
Dud (under 6):
31%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatDavid MontgomeryRB, HOU, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ETOmarion HamptonRB, LAC, Mon, Nov 16, 8:15 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection9.09.2
PPR projection9.810.3
Standard projection8.38.1
Rank this weekRB29RB28
Matchupat CLEat BAL
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game8.47.8
Last season per game9.113.3
Snap share, last game14%40%
Trade value——