Braelon AllenorRachaad White?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Rachaad White
Rachaad White outscores Braelon Allen in 59% of simulations.
Braelon Allen still comes out ahead in the other 41%, so Rachaad White is the better bet, not a sure thing. Rachaad White projects 1.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Rachaad White has the better matchup against the San Francisco 49ers (5% more than average to RBs); Braelon Allen faces the New England Patriots (11% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.7
- Median
- 5.1
- Ceiling
- 11.5
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 60%
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 6.3
- Ceiling
- 13.7
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 47%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Braelon AllenRB, NYJ, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Rachaad WhiteRB, WAS, Mon, Oct 19, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.0 | 7.3 |
| PPR projection | 6.5 | 8.5 |
| Standard projection | 5.5 | 6.1 |
| Rank this week | RB32 | RB28 |
| Matchup | at NE | at SF |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.2 | 7.0 |
| Last season per game | 3.6 | 7.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 86% | 60% |
| Trade value | — | — |