Rachaad WhiteorTyler Allgeier?

Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Start Rachaad White

Rachaad White outscores Tyler Allgeier in 56% of simulations.

Tyler Allgeier still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Rachaad White is the better bet, not a sure thing. Rachaad White projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Rachaad White has the better matchup against the New York Giants (4% more than average to RBs); Tyler Allgeier faces the Los Angeles Rams (13% fewer than average to RBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Rachaad White
Floor
2.8
Median
7.6
Ceiling
15.9
Big game (20+):
4%
Dud (under 6):
36%
Tyler Allgeier
Floor
1.5
Median
6.4
Ceiling
17.6
Big game (20+):
6%
Dud (under 6):
48%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatRachaad WhiteRB, WAS, Thu, Nov 12, 8:15 p.m. ETTyler AllgeierRB, ARI, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection8.78.3
PPR projection10.09.2
Standard projection7.57.4
Rank this weekRB27RB28
Matchupat NYGvs LAR
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game9.08.8
Last season per game7.26.8
Snap share, last game56%96%
Trade value——