Braelon AllenorTyler Allgeier?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Braelon Allen
Braelon Allen outscores Tyler Allgeier in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Tyler Allgeier comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Braelon Allen, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Braelon Allen projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. The matchups don't separate them: Braelon Allen faces the New England Patriots (11% fewer than average to RBs), Tyler Allgeier faces the Los Angeles Rams (17% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.7
- Median
- 5.1
- Ceiling
- 11.5
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 60%
- Floor
- 1.5
- Median
- 4.7
- Ceiling
- 10.8
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 64%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Braelon AllenRB, NYJ, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tyler AllgeierRB, ARI, Sun, Oct 18, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.0 | 5.6 |
| PPR projection | 6.5 | 6.3 |
| Standard projection | 5.5 | 4.8 |
| Rank this week | RB32 | RB35 |
| Matchup | at NE | at LAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.2 | 5.7 |
| Last season per game | 3.6 | 6.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 86% | 44% |
| Trade value | — | — |