Alvin KamaraorKimani Vidal?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Alvin Kamara
Alvin Kamara outscores Kimani Vidal in 60% of simulations.
Kimani Vidal still comes out ahead in the other 40%, so Alvin Kamara is the better bet, not a sure thing. Alvin Kamara projects 1.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: Alvin Kamara faces the Cleveland Browns (1% fewer than average to RBs), Kimani Vidal faces the Houston Texans (5% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.8
- Median
- 7.5
- Ceiling
- 16.2
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 37%
- Floor
- 1.3
- Median
- 5.5
- Ceiling
- 14.7
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 54%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Alvin KamaraRB, NO, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Kimani VidalRB, LAC, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.7 | 6.9 |
| PPR projection | 10.4 | 7.6 |
| Standard projection | 6.9 | 6.1 |
| Rank this week | RB27 | RB35 |
| Matchup | vs CLE | vs HOU |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 9.1 | 5.8 |
| Last season per game | 7.7 | 8.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 56% | 46% |
| Trade value | — | — |