Blake CorumorSean Tucker?

Week 5 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Start Blake Corum

Blake Corum outscores Sean Tucker in 60% of simulations.

Sean Tucker still comes out ahead in the other 40%, so Blake Corum is the better bet, not a sure thing. Blake Corum projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: Blake Corum faces the Buffalo Bills (16% more than average to RBs), Sean Tucker faces the Dallas Cowboys (11% more than average to RBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Blake Corum
Floor
1.4
Median
5.1
Ceiling
13.4
Big game (20+):
3%
Dud (under 6):
57%
Sean Tucker
Floor
0.3
Median
3.3
Ceiling
14.8
Big game (20+):
5%
Dud (under 6):
67%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatBlake CorumRB, LAR, Mon, Oct 12, 8:15 p.m. ETSean TuckerRB, TB, Thu, Oct 8, 8:15 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection6.55.8
PPR projection6.96.0
Standard projection6.15.6
Rank this weekRB35RB37
Matchupvs BUFat DAL
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game5.07.0
Last season per game7.05.1
Snap share, last game15%5%
Trade value——