Kimani VidalorSean Tucker?

Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Start Kimani Vidal

Kimani Vidal outscores Sean Tucker in 56% of simulations.

Sean Tucker still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Kimani Vidal is the better bet, not a sure thing. Kimani Vidal projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Sean Tucker has the better matchup against the Green Bay Packers (12% more than average to RBs); Kimani Vidal faces the Seattle Seahawks (22% fewer than average to RBs). Kimani Vidal still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Kimani Vidal
Floor
1.0
Median
4.4
Ceiling
11.9
Big game (20+):
2%
Dud (under 6):
64%
Sean Tucker
Floor
0.2
Median
3.1
Ceiling
14.0
Big game (20+):
4%
Dud (under 6):
68%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatKimani VidalRB, LAC, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ETSean TuckerRB, TB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection5.75.5
PPR projection6.15.8
Standard projection5.25.2
Rank this weekRB39RB40
Matchupat SEAvs GB
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game1.3—
Last season per game8.55.1
Snap share, last game25%—
Trade value——