Michael CarterorSean Tucker?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Michael Carter
Michael Carter outscores Sean Tucker in 64% of simulations.
Sean Tucker still comes out ahead in the other 36%, so Michael Carter is the better bet, not a sure thing. Michael Carter projects 0.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Sean Tucker has the better matchup against the Green Bay Packers (12% more than average to RBs); Michael Carter faces the Baltimore Ravens (1% more than average to RBs). Michael Carter still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 5.5
- Ceiling
- 11.7
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 56%
- Floor
- 0.2
- Median
- 3.1
- Ceiling
- 14.0
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 68%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Michael CarterRB, TEN, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Sean TuckerRB, TB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.4 | 5.5 |
| PPR projection | 7.7 | 5.8 |
| Standard projection | 5.1 | 5.2 |
| Rank this week | RB36 | RB40 |
| Matchup | at BAL | vs GB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | — | — |
| Last season per game | 6.3 | 5.1 |
| Snap share, last game | — | — |
| Trade value | — | — |