Sean TuckerorTyrone Tracy Jr.?
Week 5 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Tyrone Tracy Jr.
Tyrone Tracy Jr. outscores Sean Tucker in 59% of simulations.
Sean Tucker still comes out ahead in the other 41%, so Tyrone Tracy Jr. is the better bet, not a sure thing. Sean Tucker projects 0.3 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Tyrone Tracy Jr. faces the Washington Commanders (6% more than average to RBs), Sean Tucker faces the Dallas Cowboys (11% more than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.3
- Median
- 3.3
- Ceiling
- 14.8
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 67%
- Floor
- 1.4
- Median
- 4.6
- Ceiling
- 10.9
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 64%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Sean TuckerRB, TB, Thu, Oct 8, 8:15 p.m. ET | Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB, NYG, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 5.8 | 5.5 |
| PPR projection | 6.0 | 6.1 |
| Standard projection | 5.6 | 4.8 |
| Rank this week | RB37 | RB38 |
| Matchup | at DAL | at WAS |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.0 | -0.1 |
| Last season per game | 5.1 | 9.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 5% | 18% |
| Trade value | — | — |