Tyler AllgeierorTyrone Tracy Jr.?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Tyrone Tracy Jr.
Tyrone Tracy Jr. outscores Tyler Allgeier in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Tyler Allgeier comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Tyrone Tracy Jr., and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 6.5 half-PPR points in Week 4. The matchups don't separate them: Tyrone Tracy Jr. faces the Arizona Cardinals (12% more than average to RBs), Tyler Allgeier faces the New York Giants (15% more than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.7
- Median
- 5.5
- Ceiling
- 12.5
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 55%
- Floor
- 1.7
- Median
- 5.5
- Ceiling
- 12.7
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 54%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Tyler AllgeierRB, ARI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB, NYG, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.5 | 6.5 |
| PPR projection | 7.3 | 7.3 |
| Standard projection | 5.6 | 5.6 |
| Rank this week | RB39 | RB40 |
| Matchup | at NYG | vs ARI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.6 | -0.1 |
| Last season per game | 6.8 | 9.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 36% | 2% |
| Trade value | — | — |