Jacory Croskey-MerrittorTyrone Tracy Jr.?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Jacory Croskey-Merritt
Jacory Croskey-Merritt outscores Tyrone Tracy Jr. in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Tyrone Tracy Jr. comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Jacory Croskey-Merritt, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jacory Croskey-Merritt projects 1.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Tyrone Tracy Jr. has the better matchup against the Arizona Cardinals (12% more than average to RBs); Jacory Croskey-Merritt faces the Indianapolis Colts (3% more than average to RBs). Jacory Croskey-Merritt still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.7
- Median
- 6.1
- Ceiling
- 16.1
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 49%
- Floor
- 1.7
- Median
- 5.5
- Ceiling
- 12.7
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 54%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB, WAS, Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 a.m. ET | Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB, NYG, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.8 | 6.5 |
| PPR projection | 8.1 | 7.3 |
| Standard projection | 7.4 | 5.6 |
| Rank this week | RB36 | RB40 |
| Matchup | vs IND | vs ARI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.4 | -0.1 |
| Last season per game | 8.0 | 9.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 57% | 2% |
| Trade value | — | — |