Sean TuckerorTyler Allgeier?

Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Start Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier outscores Sean Tucker in 62% of simulations.

Sean Tucker still comes out ahead in the other 38%, so Tyler Allgeier is the better bet, not a sure thing. Tyler Allgeier projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. The matchups don't separate them: Tyler Allgeier faces the New York Giants (15% more than average to RBs), Sean Tucker faces the Green Bay Packers (11% more than average to RBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Sean Tucker
Floor
0.2
Median
3.1
Ceiling
14.0
Big game (20+):
4%
Dud (under 6):
68%
Tyler Allgeier
Floor
1.7
Median
5.2
Ceiling
11.9
Big game (20+):
1%
Dud (under 6):
57%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatSean TuckerRB, TB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ETTyler AllgeierRB, ARI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection5.56.2
PPR projection5.77.1
Standard projection5.25.2
Rank this weekRB40RB37
Matchupvs GBat NYG
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game—4.6
Last season per game5.16.8
Snap share, last game—36%
Trade value——