Mike Washington Jr.orSean Tucker?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Mike Washington Jr.
Mike Washington Jr. outscores Sean Tucker in 60% of simulations.
Sean Tucker still comes out ahead in the other 40%, so Mike Washington Jr. is the better bet, not a sure thing. Sean Tucker projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Sean Tucker has the better matchup against the Green Bay Packers (12% more than average to RBs); Mike Washington Jr. faces the Kansas City Chiefs (12% fewer than average to RBs). Mike Washington Jr. still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.4
- Median
- 4.4
- Ceiling
- 10.5
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 66%
- Floor
- 0.2
- Median
- 3.1
- Ceiling
- 14.0
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 68%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Mike Washington Jr.RB, LV, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET | Sean TuckerRB, TB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 5.4 | 5.5 |
| PPR projection | 5.4 | 5.8 |
| Standard projection | 5.4 | 5.2 |
| Rank this week | RB39 | RB38 |
| Matchup | vs KC | vs GB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.4 | — |
| Last season per game | — | 5.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 16% | — |
| Trade value | — | — |