Kaelon BlackorMike Washington Jr.?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Kaelon Black
Kaelon Black outscores Mike Washington Jr. in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Mike Washington Jr. comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Kaelon Black, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 4.9 half-PPR points in Week 9. Kaelon Black has the better matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (11% more than average to RBs); Mike Washington Jr. faces the San Francisco 49ers (2% more than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.2
- Median
- 4.1
- Ceiling
- 9.4
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 71%
- Floor
- 1.3
- Median
- 4.0
- Ceiling
- 9.5
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 71%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Kaelon BlackRB, SF, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET | Mike Washington Jr.RB, LV, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 4.9 | 4.9 |
| PPR projection | 5.1 | 5.0 |
| Standard projection | 4.6 | 4.7 |
| Rank this week | RB40 | RB39 |
| Matchup | vs LV | at SF |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.2 | 4.5 |
| Last season per game | — | — |
| Snap share, last game | 47% | 60% |
| Trade value | — | — |