Kaelon BlackorKendre Miller?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Kendre Miller
Kendre Miller outscores Kaelon Black in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Kaelon Black comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Kendre Miller, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Kendre Miller projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Kaelon Black has the better matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (11% more than average to RBs); Kendre Miller faces the Cleveland Browns (1% fewer than average to RBs). Kendre Miller still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Kendre Miller wins 58%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.2
- Median
- 4.1
- Ceiling
- 9.4
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 71%
- Floor
- 1.4
- Median
- 4.3
- Ceiling
- 9.8
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 69%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Kaelon BlackRB, SF, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET | Kendre MillerRB, NO, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 4.9 | 5.1 |
| PPR projection | 5.1 | 5.7 |
| Standard projection | 4.6 | 4.5 |
| Rank this week | RB40 | RB38 |
| Matchup | vs LV | vs CLE |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.2 | 5.7 |
| Last season per game | — | 4.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 47% | 39% |
| Trade value | — | — |