Devin SingletaryorKaelon Black?

Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Start Devin Singletary

Devin Singletary outscores Kaelon Black in 59% of simulations.

Kaelon Black still comes out ahead in the other 41%, so Devin Singletary is the better bet, not a sure thing. Devin Singletary projects 1.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Kaelon Black has the better matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (11% more than average to RBs); Devin Singletary faces the Philadelphia Eagles (3% more than average to RBs). Devin Singletary still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Devin Singletary
Floor
1.3
Median
5.2
Ceiling
14.4
Big game (20+):
3%
Dud (under 6):
56%
Kaelon Black
Floor
1.2
Median
4.1
Ceiling
9.4
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
71%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatDevin SingletaryRB, NYG, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ETKaelon BlackRB, SF, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection6.74.9
PPR projection7.55.1
Standard projection6.04.6
Rank this weekRB36RB40
Matchupat PHIvs LV
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game7.44.2
Last season per game5.9—
Snap share, last game29%47%
Trade value——