Audric EstiméorPierre Strong?

Week 8 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Lean Audric Estimé

Audric Estimé outscores Pierre Strong in 52% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Pierre Strong comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Audric Estimé, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Audric Estimé projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Pierre Strong has the better matchup against the Carolina Panthers (21% more than average to RBs); Audric Estimé faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (12% fewer than average to RBs). Audric Estimé still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Pierre Strong is the pick at 56%; in Standard leagues, Audric Estimé wins 62%.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Audric Estimé
Floor
2.4
Median
6.7
Ceiling
14.3
Big game (20+):
2%
Dud (under 6):
43%
Pierre Strong
Floor
2.5
Median
6.4
Ceiling
13.2
Big game (20+):
1%
Dud (under 6):
45%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatAudric EstiméRB, CLE, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ETPierre StrongRB, GB, Thu, Oct 29, 8:15 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection7.77.3
PPR projection8.79.6
Standard projection6.85.0
Rank this weekRB33RB36
Matchupat PITvs CAR
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game7.96.3
Last season per game8.4—
Snap share, last game30%55%
Trade value——