Ollie Gordon IIorPierre Strong?
Week 8 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Ollie Gordon II
Ollie Gordon II outscores Pierre Strong in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Pierre Strong comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Ollie Gordon II, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Ollie Gordon II projects 0.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Pierre Strong has the better matchup against the Carolina Panthers (21% more than average to RBs); Ollie Gordon II faces the New England Patriots (12% fewer than average to RBs). Ollie Gordon II still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Pierre Strong is the pick at 59%; in Standard leagues, Ollie Gordon II wins 63%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.1
- Median
- 6.8
- Ceiling
- 15.5
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 43%
- Floor
- 2.5
- Median
- 6.4
- Ceiling
- 13.2
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 45%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Ollie Gordon IIRB, MIA, Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 p.m. ET | Pierre StrongRB, GB, Thu, Oct 29, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.9 | 7.3 |
| PPR projection | 8.3 | 9.6 |
| Standard projection | 7.5 | 5.0 |
| Rank this week | RB29 | RB32 |
| Matchup | vs NE | vs CAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.5 | 6.3 |
| Last season per game | 3.0 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 83% | 55% |
| Trade value | — | — |