Ollie Gordon IIorTreVeyon Henderson?
Week 8 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Ollie Gordon II
Ollie Gordon II outscores TreVeyon Henderson in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: TreVeyon Henderson comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Ollie Gordon II, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. TreVeyon Henderson projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. TreVeyon Henderson has the better matchup against the Miami Dolphins (16% more than average to RBs); Ollie Gordon II faces the New England Patriots (12% fewer than average to RBs). Ollie Gordon II still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.1
- Median
- 6.8
- Ceiling
- 15.5
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 43%
- Floor
- 1.6
- Median
- 6.3
- Ceiling
- 16.2
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 49%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Ollie Gordon IIRB, MIA, Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 p.m. ET | TreVeyon HendersonRB, NE, Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.9 | 8.0 |
| PPR projection | 8.3 | 8.8 |
| Standard projection | 7.5 | 7.2 |
| Rank this week | RB29 | RB28 |
| Matchup | vs NE | at MIA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.5 | 5.2 |
| Last season per game | 3.0 | 11.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 83% | 24% |
| Trade value | — | — |