Emanuel WilsonorTreVeyon Henderson?

Week 7 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Start TreVeyon Henderson

TreVeyon Henderson outscores Emanuel Wilson in 56% of simulations.

Emanuel Wilson still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so TreVeyon Henderson is the better bet, not a sure thing. TreVeyon Henderson projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. The matchups don't separate them: TreVeyon Henderson faces the Chicago Bears (10% fewer than average to RBs), Emanuel Wilson faces the Kansas City Chiefs (14% fewer than average to RBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Emanuel Wilson
Floor
0.7
Median
4.8
Ceiling
17.1
Big game (20+):
7%
Dud (under 6):
57%
TreVeyon Henderson
Floor
1.6
Median
5.9
Ceiling
15.0
Big game (20+):
4%
Dud (under 6):
51%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatEmanuel WilsonRB, SEA, Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 p.m. ETTreVeyon HendersonRB, NE, Thu, Oct 22, 8:15 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection7.17.5
PPR projection7.58.1
Standard projection6.76.8
Rank this weekRB30RB29
Matchupvs KCat CHI
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game9.05.6
Last season per game5.111.1
Snap share, last game32%24%
Trade value——