Braelon AllenorTreVeyon Henderson?

Week 7 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Lean Braelon Allen

Braelon Allen outscores TreVeyon Henderson in 54% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: TreVeyon Henderson comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Braelon Allen, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Braelon Allen projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. Braelon Allen has the better matchup against the Miami Dolphins (17% more than average to RBs); TreVeyon Henderson faces the Chicago Bears (10% fewer than average to RBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Braelon Allen
Floor
2.4
Median
6.8
Ceiling
14.7
Big game (20+):
3%
Dud (under 6):
43%
TreVeyon Henderson
Floor
1.6
Median
5.9
Ceiling
15.0
Big game (20+):
4%
Dud (under 6):
51%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatBraelon AllenRB, NYJ, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ETTreVeyon HendersonRB, NE, Thu, Oct 22, 8:15 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection7.97.5
PPR projection8.58.1
Standard projection7.26.8
Rank this weekRB27RB29
Matchupvs MIAat CHI
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game8.75.6
Last season per game3.611.1
Snap share, last game87%24%
Trade value——