Alvin KamaraorTreVeyon Henderson?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean TreVeyon Henderson
TreVeyon Henderson outscores Alvin Kamara in 55% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Alvin Kamara comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean TreVeyon Henderson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. TreVeyon Henderson projects 1.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. TreVeyon Henderson has the better matchup against the New York Jets (24% more than average to RBs); Alvin Kamara faces the New York Giants (11% more than average to RBs). Alvin Kamara is listed as questionable. TreVeyon Henderson is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.2
- Median
- 6.3
- Ceiling
- 14.9
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 48%
- Floor
- 0.4
- Median
- 7.2
- Ceiling
- 20.4
- Big game (20+):
- 10%
- Dud (under 6):
- 43%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Alvin KamaraRB, NO, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | TreVeyon HendersonRB, NE, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.4 | 9.1 |
| PPR projection | 8.9 | 9.8 |
| Standard projection | 6.0 | 8.3 |
| Rank this week | RB24 | RB20 |
| Matchup | at NYG | vs NYJ |
| Injury | Questionable | Questionable |
| 2026 points per game | 7.8 | 6.4 |
| Last season per game | 7.7 | 11.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 27% | 16% |
| Trade value | — | — |