Bam KnightorRachaad White?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Rachaad White
Rachaad White outscores Bam Knight in 58% of simulations.
Bam Knight still comes out ahead in the other 42%, so Rachaad White is the better bet, not a sure thing. Rachaad White projects 1.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Bam Knight has the better matchup against the New York Giants (15% more than average to RBs); Rachaad White faces the Indianapolis Colts (3% more than average to RBs). Rachaad White still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.7
- Median
- 5.5
- Ceiling
- 13.1
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 54%
- Floor
- 2.5
- Median
- 6.9
- Ceiling
- 14.8
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 41%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Bam KnightRB, ARI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Rachaad WhiteRB, WAS, Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 a.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.7 | 8.0 |
| PPR projection | 7.6 | 9.3 |
| Standard projection | 5.9 | 6.7 |
| Rank this week | RB38 | RB35 |
| Matchup | at NYG | vs IND |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 2.4 | 8.5 |
| Last season per game | 6.8 | 7.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 6% | 43% |
| Trade value | — | — |