Bam KnightorTy Johnson?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Ty Johnson
Ty Johnson outscores Bam Knight in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Bam Knight comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Ty Johnson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Ty Johnson projects 0.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Ty Johnson has the better matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (5% more than average to RBs); Bam Knight faces the Los Angeles Rams (10% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.3
- Median
- 4.2
- Ceiling
- 10.0
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 69%
- Floor
- 1.1
- Median
- 4.5
- Ceiling
- 12.0
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 64%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Bam KnightRB, ARI, Sun, Oct 18, 4:05 p.m. ET | Ty JohnsonRB, BUF, Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 5.1 | 5.7 |
| PPR projection | 5.7 | 6.8 |
| Standard projection | 4.4 | 4.7 |
| Rank this week | RB40 | RB36 |
| Matchup | at LAR | at LV |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 1.6 | 6.1 |
| Last season per game | 6.8 | 5.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 8% | 22% |
| Trade value | — | — |