Chris Rodriguez Jr.orKendre Miller?

Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Lean Chris Rodriguez Jr.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. outscores Kendre Miller in 54% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Kendre Miller comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Chris Rodriguez Jr., and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Chris Rodriguez Jr. projects 0.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Kendre Miller has the better matchup against the New York Giants (12% more than average to RBs); Chris Rodriguez Jr. faces the Houston Texans (15% fewer than average to RBs). Chris Rodriguez Jr. still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Chris Rodriguez Jr.
Floor
1.8
Median
5.0
Ceiling
10.5
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
61%
Kendre Miller
Floor
1.3
Median
4.3
Ceiling
10.1
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
67%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatChris Rodriguez Jr.RB, JAX, Sun, Oct 18, 9:30 a.m. ETKendre MillerRB, NO, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection5.75.2
PPR projection5.85.7
Standard projection5.64.8
Rank this weekRB33RB37
Matchupvs HOUat NYG
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game4.95.5
Last season per game7.54.4
Snap share, last game12%31%
Trade value——