Chris Rodriguez Jr.orTyjae Spears?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Chris Rodriguez Jr.
Chris Rodriguez Jr. outscores Tyjae Spears in 55% of simulations.
Tyjae Spears still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so Chris Rodriguez Jr. is the better bet, not a sure thing. Chris Rodriguez Jr. projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Tyjae Spears has the better matchup against the Indianapolis Colts (4% more than average to RBs); Chris Rodriguez Jr. faces the Houston Texans (15% fewer than average to RBs). Chris Rodriguez Jr. still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Tyjae Spears is the pick at 55%; in Standard leagues, Chris Rodriguez Jr. wins 68%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.8
- Median
- 5.0
- Ceiling
- 10.5
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 61%
- Floor
- 1.4
- Median
- 4.4
- Ceiling
- 10.1
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 67%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Chris Rodriguez Jr.RB, JAX, Sun, Oct 18, 9:30 a.m. ET | Tyjae SpearsRB, TEN, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 5.7 | 5.3 |
| PPR projection | 5.8 | 7.0 |
| Standard projection | 5.6 | 3.6 |
| Rank this week | RB33 | RB36 |
| Matchup | vs HOU | at IND |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.9 | 3.7 |
| Last season per game | 7.5 | 6.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 12% | 54% |
| Trade value | — | — |