Brian RobinsonorChris Rodriguez Jr.?
Week 5 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Chris Rodriguez Jr.
Chris Rodriguez Jr. outscores Brian Robinson in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Brian Robinson comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Chris Rodriguez Jr., and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Brian Robinson projects 0.5 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Chris Rodriguez Jr. faces the Philadelphia Eagles (5% more than average to RBs), Brian Robinson faces the Baltimore Ravens (2% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.5
- Median
- 6.1
- Ceiling
- 16.1
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 49%
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 6.3
- Ceiling
- 13.1
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 46%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Brian RobinsonRB, ATL, Sun, Oct 11, 8:20 p.m. ET | Chris Rodriguez Jr.RB, JAX, Sun, Oct 11, 9:30 a.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.7 | 7.2 |
| PPR projection | 8.0 | 7.3 |
| Standard projection | 7.4 | 7.1 |
| Rank this week | RB35 | RB37 |
| Matchup | vs BAL | vs PHI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.8 | 5.7 |
| Last season per game | 3.4 | 7.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 42% | 25% |
| Trade value | — | — |