Brian RobinsonorEmanuel Wilson?
Week 5 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Brian Robinson
Brian Robinson outscores Emanuel Wilson in 55% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Emanuel Wilson comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean Brian Robinson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Emanuel Wilson projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Emanuel Wilson has the better matchup against the San Francisco 49ers (7% more than average to RBs); Brian Robinson faces the Baltimore Ravens (2% fewer than average to RBs). Brian Robinson still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.5
- Median
- 6.1
- Ceiling
- 16.1
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 49%
- Floor
- 0.6
- Median
- 5.0
- Ceiling
- 18.8
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 56%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Brian RobinsonRB, ATL, Sun, Oct 11, 8:20 p.m. ET | Emanuel WilsonRB, SEA, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.7 | 7.8 |
| PPR projection | 8.0 | 8.3 |
| Standard projection | 7.4 | 7.4 |
| Rank this week | RB35 | RB34 |
| Matchup | vs BAL | vs SF |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.8 | 9.1 |
| Last season per game | 3.4 | 5.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 42% | 60% |
| Trade value | — | — |