Chris Rodriguez Jr.orJacory Croskey-Merritt?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Jacory Croskey-Merritt
Jacory Croskey-Merritt outscores Chris Rodriguez Jr. in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Chris Rodriguez Jr. comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Jacory Croskey-Merritt, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jacory Croskey-Merritt projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Chris Rodriguez Jr. has the better matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals (19% more than average to RBs); Jacory Croskey-Merritt faces the Indianapolis Colts (3% more than average to RBs). Jacory Croskey-Merritt still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.3
- Median
- 6.2
- Ceiling
- 12.8
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 48%
- Floor
- 1.7
- Median
- 6.1
- Ceiling
- 15.9
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 49%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Chris Rodriguez Jr.RB, JAX, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB, WAS, Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 a.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.0 | 7.7 |
| PPR projection | 7.1 | 8.0 |
| Standard projection | 7.0 | 7.3 |
| Rank this week | RB34 | RB32 |
| Matchup | at CIN | vs IND |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.4 | 7.4 |
| Last season per game | 7.5 | 8.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 21% | 57% |
| Trade value | — | — |