Chris Rodriguez Jr.orDavid Montgomery?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Chris Rodriguez Jr.
Chris Rodriguez Jr. outscores David Montgomery in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: David Montgomery comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Chris Rodriguez Jr., and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. David Montgomery projects 0.6 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Chris Rodriguez Jr. faces the Tennessee Titans (average to RBs), David Montgomery faces the Cleveland Browns (average to RBs). David Montgomery is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.5
- Median
- 6.6
- Ceiling
- 13.7
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 44%
- Floor
- 0.4
- Median
- 6.8
- Ceiling
- 17.1
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 45%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Chris Rodriguez Jr.RB, JAX, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | David MontgomeryRB, HOU, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.5 | 8.1 |
| PPR projection | 7.7 | 8.8 |
| Standard projection | 7.2 | 7.5 |
| Rank this week | RB33 | RB32 |
| Matchup | at TEN | at CLE |
| Injury | None | Questionable |
| 2026 points per game | 6.5 | 8.4 |
| Last season per game | 7.5 | 9.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 45% | 14% |
| Trade value | — | — |