Chris Rodriguez Jr.orJordan Mason?

Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Start Jordan Mason

Jordan Mason outscores Chris Rodriguez Jr. in 56% of simulations.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Jordan Mason is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jordan Mason projects 1.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Jordan Mason has the better matchup against the Buffalo Bills (15% more than average to RBs); Chris Rodriguez Jr. faces the Baltimore Ravens (5% fewer than average to RBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Chris Rodriguez Jr.
Floor
2.2
Median
6.0
Ceiling
12.5
Big game (20+):
1%
Dud (under 6):
50%
Jordan Mason
Floor
2.3
Median
6.8
Ceiling
14.7
Big game (20+):
3%
Dud (under 6):
43%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatChris Rodriguez Jr.RB, JAX, Thu, Nov 5, 8:15 p.m. ETJordan MasonRB, MIN, Mon, Nov 9, 8:15 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection6.87.8
PPR projection7.08.1
Standard projection6.77.5
Rank this weekRB36RB32
Matchupat BALvs BUF
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game6.06.9
Last season per game7.57.6
Snap share, last game22%28%
Trade value——