Chris Rodriguez Jr.orDevin Singletary?

Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Start Chris Rodriguez Jr.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. outscores Devin Singletary in 61% of simulations.

Devin Singletary still comes out ahead in the other 39%, so Chris Rodriguez Jr. is the better bet, not a sure thing. Chris Rodriguez Jr. projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Chris Rodriguez Jr. has the better matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals (20% more than average to RBs); Devin Singletary faces the Arizona Cardinals (12% more than average to RBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Chris Rodriguez Jr.
Floor
2.3
Median
6.2
Ceiling
12.8
Big game (20+):
1%
Dud (under 6):
48%
Devin Singletary
Floor
1.1
Median
4.8
Ceiling
13.8
Big game (20+):
3%
Dud (under 6):
59%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatChris Rodriguez Jr.RB, JAX, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ETDevin SingletaryRB, NYG, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection7.06.3
PPR projection7.17.0
Standard projection7.05.6
Rank this weekRB36RB38
Matchupat CINvs ARI
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game4.46.3
Last season per game7.55.9
Snap share, last game21%26%
Trade value——