Emanuel WilsonorMichael Carter?
Week 8 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Emanuel Wilson
Emanuel Wilson outscores Michael Carter in 56% of simulations.
Michael Carter still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Emanuel Wilson is the better bet, not a sure thing. Emanuel Wilson projects 2.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Michael Carter has the better matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals (10% more than average to RBs); Emanuel Wilson faces the Chicago Bears (8% fewer than average to RBs). Emanuel Wilson still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Michael Carter is the pick at 50%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.0
- Median
- 6.2
- Ceiling
- 20.0
- Big game (20+):
- 10%
- Dud (under 6):
- 49%
- Floor
- 2.0
- Median
- 5.1
- Ceiling
- 11.1
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 60%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Emanuel WilsonRB, SEA, Mon, Nov 2, 8:15 p.m. ET | Michael CarterRB, TEN, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.5 | 6.0 |
| PPR projection | 8.9 | 7.2 |
| Standard projection | 8.0 | 4.8 |
| Rank this week | RB26 | RB38 |
| Matchup | vs CHI | at CIN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.3 | 1.9 |
| Last season per game | 5.1 | 6.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 48% | 25% |
| Trade value | — | — |