Jonah ColemanorMichael Carter?
Week 8 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Jonah Coleman
Jonah Coleman outscores Michael Carter in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Michael Carter comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Jonah Coleman, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jonah Coleman projects 0.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Michael Carter has the better matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals (10% more than average to RBs); Jonah Coleman faces the Kansas City Chiefs (13% fewer than average to RBs). Jonah Coleman still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.9
- Median
- 5.9
- Ceiling
- 13.5
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 51%
- Floor
- 2.0
- Median
- 5.1
- Ceiling
- 11.1
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 60%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jonah ColemanRB, DEN, Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 p.m. ET | Michael CarterRB, TEN, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.9 | 6.0 |
| PPR projection | 7.7 | 7.2 |
| Standard projection | 6.1 | 4.8 |
| Rank this week | RB36 | RB38 |
| Matchup | vs KC | at CIN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.1 | 1.9 |
| Last season per game | — | 6.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 49% | 25% |
| Trade value | — | — |