Blake CorumorEmanuel Wilson?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Blake Corum
Blake Corum outscores Emanuel Wilson in 56% of simulations.
Emanuel Wilson still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Blake Corum is the better bet, not a sure thing. Emanuel Wilson projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Blake Corum has the better matchup against the Arizona Cardinals (12% more than average to RBs); Emanuel Wilson faces the Denver Broncos (7% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.7
- Median
- 6.1
- Ceiling
- 16.0
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 49%
- Floor
- 0.7
- Median
- 5.3
- Ceiling
- 18.8
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 54%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Blake CorumRB, LAR, Sun, Oct 18, 4:05 p.m. ET | Emanuel WilsonRB, SEA, Thu, Oct 15, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.7 | 7.8 |
| PPR projection | 8.3 | 8.3 |
| Standard projection | 7.2 | 7.3 |
| Rank this week | RB30 | RB29 |
| Matchup | vs ARI | at DEN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.0 | 9.7 |
| Last season per game | 7.0 | 5.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 27% | 59% |
| Trade value | — | — |