Brian RobinsonorJ.K. Dobbins?
Week 5 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start J.K. Dobbins
J.K. Dobbins outscores Brian Robinson in 59% of simulations.
Brian Robinson still comes out ahead in the other 41%, so J.K. Dobbins is the better bet, not a sure thing. J.K. Dobbins projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: J.K. Dobbins faces the Los Angeles Chargers (8% fewer than average to RBs), Brian Robinson faces the Baltimore Ravens (2% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.5
- Median
- 6.1
- Ceiling
- 16.1
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 49%
- Floor
- 3.9
- Median
- 7.4
- Ceiling
- 12.8
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 33%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Brian RobinsonRB, ATL, Sun, Oct 11, 8:20 p.m. ET | J.K. DobbinsRB, DEN, Sun, Oct 11, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.7 | 8.0 |
| PPR projection | 8.0 | 8.4 |
| Standard projection | 7.4 | 7.5 |
| Rank this week | RB35 | RB31 |
| Matchup | vs BAL | at LAC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.8 | 4.8 |
| Last season per game | 3.4 | 11.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 42% | 32% |
| Trade value | — | — |