Rachaad WhiteorRico Dowdle?
Week 5 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Rachaad White
Rachaad White outscores Rico Dowdle in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Rico Dowdle comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Rachaad White, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Rico Dowdle projects 0.2 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Rachaad White has the better matchup against the New York Giants (12% more than average to RBs); Rico Dowdle faces the Indianapolis Colts (2% fewer than average to RBs). Rico Dowdle is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.6
- Median
- 7.3
- Ceiling
- 15.6
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 39%
- Floor
- 0.4
- Median
- 7.0
- Ceiling
- 18.1
- Big game (20+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 6):
- 44%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Rachaad WhiteRB, WAS, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Rico DowdleRB, PIT, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.4 | 8.6 |
| PPR projection | 9.8 | 9.5 |
| Standard projection | 7.0 | 7.6 |
| Rank this week | RB24 | RB23 |
| Matchup | vs NYG | vs IND |
| Injury | None | Questionable |
| 2026 points per game | 8.5 | 4.3 |
| Last season per game | 7.2 | 11.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 43% | 26% |
| Trade value | — | — |