Brian RobinsonorJacory Croskey-Merritt?
Week 5 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Jacory Croskey-Merritt
Jacory Croskey-Merritt outscores Brian Robinson in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Brian Robinson comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Jacory Croskey-Merritt, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jacory Croskey-Merritt projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Jacory Croskey-Merritt has the better matchup against the New York Giants (13% more than average to RBs); Brian Robinson faces the Baltimore Ravens (2% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.5
- Median
- 6.1
- Ceiling
- 16.1
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 49%
- Floor
- 1.7
- Median
- 6.3
- Ceiling
- 16.5
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 47%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Brian RobinsonRB, ATL, Sun, Oct 11, 8:20 p.m. ET | Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB, WAS, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.7 | 8.0 |
| PPR projection | 8.0 | 8.4 |
| Standard projection | 7.4 | 7.5 |
| Rank this week | RB35 | RB32 |
| Matchup | vs BAL | vs NYG |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.8 | 7.0 |
| Last season per game | 3.4 | 8.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 42% | 45% |
| Trade value | — | — |