Tyjae SpearsorTyrone Tracy Jr.?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Tyrone Tracy Jr.
Tyrone Tracy Jr. outscores Tyjae Spears in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Tyjae Spears comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Tyrone Tracy Jr., and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Tyrone Tracy Jr. projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Tyrone Tracy Jr. has the better matchup against the New Orleans Saints (17% more than average to RBs); Tyjae Spears faces the Indianapolis Colts (4% more than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Tyjae Spears is the pick at 53%; in Standard leagues, Tyrone Tracy Jr. wins 60%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.4
- Median
- 4.4
- Ceiling
- 10.1
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 67%
- Floor
- 1.4
- Median
- 4.7
- Ceiling
- 11.2
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 62%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Tyjae SpearsRB, TEN, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB, NYG, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 5.3 | 5.7 |
| PPR projection | 7.0 | 6.5 |
| Standard projection | 3.6 | 4.9 |
| Rank this week | RB36 | RB34 |
| Matchup | at IND | vs NO |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 3.7 | 0.7 |
| Last season per game | 6.9 | 9.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 54% | 19% |
| Trade value | — | — |