Tyrone Tracy Jr.orWoody Marks?

Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Start Woody Marks

Woody Marks outscores Tyrone Tracy Jr. in 59% of simulations.

Tyrone Tracy Jr. still comes out ahead in the other 41%, so Woody Marks is the better bet, not a sure thing. Woody Marks projects 1.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Tyrone Tracy Jr. has the better matchup against the New Orleans Saints (17% more than average to RBs); Woody Marks faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (23% fewer than average to RBs). Woody Marks still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Tyrone Tracy Jr.
Floor
1.4
Median
4.7
Ceiling
11.2
Big game (20+):
1%
Dud (under 6):
62%
Woody Marks
Floor
2.0
Median
5.9
Ceiling
13.1
Big game (20+):
2%
Dud (under 6):
51%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatTyrone Tracy Jr.RB, NYG, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ETWoody MarksRB, HOU, Sun, Oct 18, 9:30 a.m. ET
Half-PPR projection5.77.0
PPR projection6.57.8
Standard projection4.96.2
Rank this weekRB34RB30
Matchupvs NOat JAX
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game0.77.6
Last season per game9.58.3
Snap share, last game19%85%
Trade value——