Kendre MillerorTyjae Spears?

Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Lean Kendre Miller

Kendre Miller outscores Tyjae Spears in 51% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Tyjae Spears comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Kendre Miller, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Tyjae Spears projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Kendre Miller has the better matchup against the New York Giants (12% more than average to RBs); Tyjae Spears faces the Indianapolis Colts (4% more than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Tyjae Spears is the pick at 56%; in Standard leagues, Kendre Miller wins 60%.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Kendre Miller
Floor
1.3
Median
4.3
Ceiling
10.1
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
67%
Tyjae Spears
Floor
1.4
Median
4.4
Ceiling
10.1
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
67%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatKendre MillerRB, NO, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ETTyjae SpearsRB, TEN, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection5.25.3
PPR projection5.77.0
Standard projection4.83.6
Rank this weekRB37RB36
Matchupat NYGat IND
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game5.53.7
Last season per game4.46.9
Snap share, last game31%54%
Trade value——