Justice HillorKendre Miller?

Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Start Kendre Miller

Kendre Miller outscores Justice Hill in 58% of simulations.

Justice Hill still comes out ahead in the other 42%, so Kendre Miller is the better bet, not a sure thing. Kendre Miller projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Kendre Miller has the better matchup against the New York Giants (12% more than average to RBs); Justice Hill faces the Cleveland Browns (7% fewer than average to RBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Justice Hill
Floor
0.5
Median
3.3
Ceiling
11.6
Big game (20+):
2%
Dud (under 6):
69%
Kendre Miller
Floor
1.3
Median
4.3
Ceiling
10.1
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
67%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatJustice HillRB, BAL, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ETKendre MillerRB, NO, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection4.95.2
PPR projection5.75.7
Standard projection4.04.8
Rank this weekRB38RB37
Matchupat CLEat NYG
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game4.35.5
Last season per game5.54.4
Snap share, last game46%31%
Trade value——