Bam KnightorTyjae Spears?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Tyjae Spears
Tyjae Spears outscores Bam Knight in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Bam Knight comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Tyjae Spears, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Tyjae Spears projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Tyjae Spears has the better matchup against the Indianapolis Colts (4% more than average to RBs); Bam Knight faces the Los Angeles Rams (17% fewer than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Tyjae Spears wins 58%; in Standard leagues, Bam Knight is the pick at 57%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.2
- Median
- 4.0
- Ceiling
- 9.6
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 72%
- Floor
- 1.4
- Median
- 4.4
- Ceiling
- 10.1
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 67%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Bam KnightRB, ARI, Sun, Oct 18, 4:05 p.m. ET | Tyjae SpearsRB, TEN, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 4.9 | 5.3 |
| PPR projection | 5.5 | 7.0 |
| Standard projection | 4.3 | 3.6 |
| Rank this week | RB39 | RB36 |
| Matchup | at LAR | at IND |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 1.6 | 3.7 |
| Last season per game | 6.8 | 6.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 8% | 54% |
| Trade value | — | — |