Tyjae SpearsorTyler Allgeier?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Tyler Allgeier
Tyler Allgeier outscores Tyjae Spears in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Tyjae Spears comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Tyler Allgeier, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Tyler Allgeier projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Tyjae Spears has the better matchup against the Indianapolis Colts (4% more than average to RBs); Tyler Allgeier faces the Los Angeles Rams (17% fewer than average to RBs). Tyler Allgeier still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Tyjae Spears is the pick at 54%; in Standard leagues, Tyler Allgeier wins 59%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.4
- Median
- 4.4
- Ceiling
- 10.1
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 67%
- Floor
- 1.5
- Median
- 4.7
- Ceiling
- 10.8
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 64%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Tyjae SpearsRB, TEN, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tyler AllgeierRB, ARI, Sun, Oct 18, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 5.3 | 5.6 |
| PPR projection | 7.0 | 6.3 |
| Standard projection | 3.6 | 4.8 |
| Rank this week | RB36 | RB35 |
| Matchup | at IND | at LAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 3.7 | 5.7 |
| Last season per game | 6.9 | 6.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 54% | 44% |
| Trade value | — | — |