Michael CarterorTy Johnson?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Michael Carter
Michael Carter outscores Ty Johnson in 57% of simulations.
Ty Johnson still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Michael Carter is the better bet, not a sure thing. Michael Carter projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. The matchups don't separate them: Michael Carter faces the Indianapolis Colts (4% more than average to RBs), Ty Johnson faces the Las Vegas Raiders (5% more than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 5.6
- Ceiling
- 11.9
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 55%
- Floor
- 1.1
- Median
- 4.5
- Ceiling
- 12.0
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 64%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Michael CarterRB, TEN, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Ty JohnsonRB, BUF, Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.5 | 5.7 |
| PPR projection | 7.8 | 6.8 |
| Standard projection | 5.2 | 4.7 |
| Rank this week | RB37 | RB40 |
| Matchup | at IND | at LV |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | — | 6.1 |
| Last season per game | 6.3 | 5.2 |
| Snap share, last game | — | 22% |
| Trade value | — | — |