Ty JohnsonorTyler Allgeier?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Tyler Allgeier
Tyler Allgeier outscores Ty Johnson in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Ty Johnson comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Tyler Allgeier, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Tyler Allgeier projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Ty Johnson has the better matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (5% more than average to RBs); Tyler Allgeier faces the Los Angeles Rams (10% fewer than average to RBs). Tyler Allgeier still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.1
- Median
- 4.5
- Ceiling
- 12.0
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 64%
- Floor
- 1.6
- Median
- 4.9
- Ceiling
- 11.2
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 62%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Ty JohnsonRB, BUF, Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 p.m. ET | Tyler AllgeierRB, ARI, Sun, Oct 18, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 5.7 | 5.8 |
| PPR projection | 6.8 | 6.6 |
| Standard projection | 4.7 | 5.1 |
| Rank this week | RB40 | RB39 |
| Matchup | at LV | at LAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.1 | 5.7 |
| Last season per game | 5.2 | 6.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 22% | 44% |
| Trade value | — | — |