Devin SingletaryorTyjae Spears?

Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Lean Devin Singletary

Devin Singletary outscores Tyjae Spears in 54% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Tyjae Spears comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Devin Singletary, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Devin Singletary projects 1.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Devin Singletary has the better matchup against the Arizona Cardinals (12% more than average to RBs); Tyjae Spears faces the Baltimore Ravens (1% more than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Devin Singletary wins 59%. Tyjae Spears is listed as questionable.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Devin Singletary
Floor
1.1
Median
4.8
Ceiling
13.8
Big game (20+):
3%
Dud (under 6):
59%
Tyjae Spears
Floor
0.0
Median
4.4
Ceiling
11.2
Big game (20+):
1%
Dud (under 6):
65%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatDevin SingletaryRB, NYG, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ETTyjae SpearsRB, TEN, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection6.35.2
PPR projection7.06.4
Standard projection5.64.0
Rank this weekRB36RB40
Matchupvs ARIat BAL
InjuryNoneQuestionable
2026 points per game6.34.0
Last season per game5.96.9
Snap share, last game26%47%
Trade value——