Devin SingletaryorMichael Carter?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Michael Carter
Michael Carter outscores Devin Singletary in 55% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Devin Singletary comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean Michael Carter, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Michael Carter projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Devin Singletary has the better matchup against the Arizona Cardinals (12% more than average to RBs); Michael Carter faces the Baltimore Ravens (1% more than average to RBs). Michael Carter still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Michael Carter wins 50%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.1
- Median
- 4.8
- Ceiling
- 13.8
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 59%
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 5.5
- Ceiling
- 11.7
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 56%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Devin SingletaryRB, NYG, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Michael CarterRB, TEN, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.3 | 6.4 |
| PPR projection | 7.0 | 7.7 |
| Standard projection | 5.6 | 5.1 |
| Rank this week | RB40 | RB38 |
| Matchup | vs ARI | at BAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.3 | — |
| Last season per game | 5.9 | 6.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 26% | — |
| Trade value | — | — |