Dylan SampsonorMike Washington Jr.?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Dylan Sampson
Dylan Sampson outscores Mike Washington Jr. in 58% of simulations.
Mike Washington Jr. still comes out ahead in the other 42%, so Dylan Sampson is the better bet, not a sure thing. Dylan Sampson projects 1.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Dylan Sampson has the better matchup against the New Orleans Saints (16% more than average to RBs); Mike Washington Jr. faces the San Francisco 49ers (2% more than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Mike Washington Jr. is the pick at 52%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.1
- Median
- 4.8
- Ceiling
- 12.7
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 59%
- Floor
- 1.3
- Median
- 4.0
- Ceiling
- 9.5
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 71%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Dylan SampsonRB, CLE, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Mike Washington Jr.RB, LV, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.0 | 4.9 |
| PPR projection | 7.5 | 5.0 |
| Standard projection | 4.6 | 4.7 |
| Rank this week | RB37 | RB39 |
| Matchup | at NO | at SF |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.4 | 4.5 |
| Last season per game | 4.7 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 56% | 60% |
| Trade value | — | — |