Dylan SampsonorKimani Vidal?

Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Lean Kimani Vidal

Kimani Vidal outscores Dylan Sampson in 51% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Dylan Sampson comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Kimani Vidal, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Kimani Vidal projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Dylan Sampson has the better matchup against the New Orleans Saints (16% more than average to RBs); Kimani Vidal faces the Houston Texans (5% fewer than average to RBs). Kimani Vidal still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Kimani Vidal wins 58%.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Dylan Sampson
Floor
1.1
Median
4.9
Ceiling
12.8
Big game (20+):
2%
Dud (under 6):
59%
Kimani Vidal
Floor
1.3
Median
5.5
Ceiling
14.7
Big game (20+):
3%
Dud (under 6):
54%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatDylan SampsonRB, CLE, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ETKimani VidalRB, LAC, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection6.16.9
PPR projection7.57.6
Standard projection4.66.1
Rank this weekRB39RB35
Matchupat NOvs HOU
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game6.45.8
Last season per game4.78.5
Snap share, last game56%46%
Trade value——